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Crimea crisis: How could the world face another world war

Vladimir Putin has brought Russia back to its old position, once a rival to the United States. Russia has once again become a rival to the United States in various fields. The United States is concerned that Russia has overtaken the United States in many ways, especially in the development of modern weapons technology
Md. Tareq Hasan
Crimea crisis: How could the world face another world war

If the United States and the European Union take military action over Crimea, it could lead to a world war with Russia. According to analysts, the United States does not have the capacity to engage in a world war with Russia at the moment.

As a result, eastern Ukraine could be annexed by Russia in the future, like Crimea. Even some of the more vulnerable countries around Russia could have the same consequences. Is there any guarantee that the current crisis in Crimea will not trigger another world war?

The United States has not sided with Ukraine in defending Crimea. The United States and Europe have not taken any military action. This is because the United States does not want Ukraine to take the risk of getting involved in a world war with Russia. As a result, the United States and Europe may see more events like Crimea in the future. There is no way but to accept it and if you don't want to accept it, you have to go for military action which can lead to world war.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is currently in an enviable position among world leaders, although his popularity in the country is in question. He has ruled Russia for more than 20 years. He has once again brought Russia, defeated and devastated in the Cold War with the United States, to the world political stage. Also, he has brought Russia back to the dominant position.

Vladimir Putin has brought Russia back to its old position, once a rival to the United States. Russia has once again become a rival to the United States in various fields. The United States is concerned that Russia has overtaken the United States in many ways, especially in the development of modern weapons technology.

The United States fears that in order to win the war in the future, Russia may first adopt a policy of conducting nuclear attacks. As a result, the United States is being forced to make new preparations to deal with Russia. The two countries are secretly pursuing an arms race. The United States is preparing for this and it is visible. During the Trump administration, the United States developed a new nuclear bomb with limited power to deal with Russia and deployed it in submarines.

At the heart of Vladimir Putin's leadership and vision is the fact that weak Russia in the 1990s re-entered the glorious chapter after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Putin has a lot of respect in the world court, but he also has strong criticism in various fields, including the suppression of the opposition and the usurpation of power in the country. Former political rival Navalny has returned to the country and wants to oust Putin but still it does not make sense yet.

Putin has a bitter relationship with Democrats in the United States. Earlier, when Democrats were in office, Hillary Clinton tried to overthrow Putin. There are allegations that Putin tried to prevent Hillary Clinton from running for president.

Democrats are in power now. Putin thinks Joe Biden is leading NATO and the European Union to reduce Russia's influence in Europe, with the ultimate consequence being to oust him. Putin believes the United States is trying to fuel Russia's anger and change of power. He believes that Russia's political instability is due to the United States as well as its efforts to threaten regional security.

Putin thinks he has personally been the victim of intense Western hatred. In an interview with ABC news, Biden called Putin a "murderer." According to many, this geopolitical crisis could turn into a world war.

In March, Ukraine's foreign minister wrote in a tweet that the Ukrainian government had approved a strategy to liberate Crimea and reunite. This is a historical document that has been needed since 2014. The Kremlin's position is that any attempt by Ukraine to occupy Crimea would mean a direct war. Going to retake Crimea without the support of Western countries and the United States means that Ukraine will be crushed by the Russian army. Russia's military will not take any action without a clear announcement from the Ukrainian government on the rescue of Crimea. Ukraine must want Crimea back.

Western powers are less likely to engage in a war with Russia for Ukraine. Ukraine is not a member of NATO and there is disagreement among NATO member European countries about the consequences of the Russian threat. Without the strong unity of NATO's European member states, the deployment of troops on Ukraine's side could be catastrophic for them.

Biden's entry into the White House is a major threat to Russia. The US-Russia conflict eased somewhat during the Trump administration. At one point, US-Russia relations reached their peak after the collapse of the Soviet Union. The Trump administration has focused on Iran instead of Russia, with China as its main rival.

After the United States withdrew from the conflict with Russia, the Trump administration finally ordered the deployment of new nuclear bombs on submarines to deal with Russia, especially as the Pentagon became alarmed by Russia's advances in missile technology.

Many in the United States at the time publicly described Russia as a major threat, and feared that Russia might pursue a policy of winning the war by attacking NATO members in Europe earlier. They believe that Russia can carry out a limited number of nuclear attacks in Europe.

Russia annexed Georgia in 2008 and occupied Crimea in 2014 in exactly the same way. Apart from protests, Western powers have never intervened militarily to protect even these weak countries. Putin did not need to occupy all of Ukraine to defeat the West. He needed to occupy a small part of Ukraine, as he did in Georgia in 2008. To do this, Putin first applied his special strategy. Putin's special strategy is to build, share and occupy domestic aircraft in any country. Putin will continue this policy in the countries around Russia in the future. There is no reason to think that the Biden administration will do more to prevent this than the previous administration.

In the case of Georgia in 2008 and Ukraine in 2014, the United States has not implemented its commitments. In fact, no American leader does not want to go to war with Russia for Ukraine, which will eventually turn into a world war. And the reality is that the United States can't afford it now. The United States cannot afford an all-out war with Russia. It is not certain that the United States will win such a war. The virtual war games that the United States has conducted in this regard paint a picture of their miserable condition against Russia.

Moscow is currently challenging the United States with all its might. Russian forces are gaining ground in the Middle East and Africa.  And lastly, they have shown reckless behavior in space. The United States has blamed Russia for the biggest cyber-intelligence attack last year. The United States has done little to prevent it. Many analysts believe that what the United States has done is to encourage allies to act irresponsibly.

All Biden can do now is to sit down in direct talks with Russia. Otherwise, Putin could take full control of eastern Ukraine. In this case, Ukraine will not be a real country. In this case, the West has to accept it or it could be the beginning of another big mistake in Europe, where all the attention of the United States is now on China in the Indo-Pacific region. Now it remains to be seen how the Crimean crisis can push the world towards an unstable and extreme outcome.

The writer is a student of Rajshahi University. E-mail: [email protected]

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Published by the Editor on behalf of Independent Publications Limited at Media Printers, 446/H, Tejgaon I/A, Dhaka-1215.
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Editor : M. Shamsur Rahman
Published by the Editor on behalf of Independent Publications Limited at Media Printers, 446/H, Tejgaon I/A, Dhaka-1215.
Editorial, News & Commercial Offices : Beximco Media Complex, 149-150 Tejgaon I/A, Dhaka-1208, Bangladesh. GPO Box No. 934, Dhaka-1000.

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